Investigation and Analysis on the current situation of glass deep processing enterprises under the impact of epidemic (Shandong)After the Spring Festival, the epidemic situation in the whole country was grim. Since March, many places in Shandong Province have broken out. Various places have successively implemented relatively strict prevention and control measures to effectively control the epidemic.
Investigation and Analysis on the current situation of glass deep processing enterprises under the impact of epidemic (Shandong)After the Spring Festival, the epidemic situation in the whole country was grim. Since March, many places in Shandong Province have broken out. Various places have successively implemented relatively strict prevention and control measures to effectively control the epidemic.
However, at the same time, the production and operation of the industry have also been affected to varying degrees. Recently, the association organized the Shandong region & ldquo; Current industry and enterprise operation status & rdquo; Based on the telephone survey of the glass deep processing enterprises in Shandong Province, the current order reserve, order inquiry, production load, material reserve, finished product inventory, logistics transportation, and accounts receivable were investigated:(I) the overall situation is not optimistic. As a catalyst, the epidemic situation has made the adverse impact of terminal fund shortage on the industry more prominent.
Glass processing orders are generally insufficient. Due to the continuous impact of emergency response to major events and epidemic situation and other factors, superimposed capital problems, insufficient construction sites and slow project progress, the terminal market failed to start as scheduled at the end of the first quarter, new orders were insufficient, and glass deep processing enterprises generally lacked orders.
2. The low collection rate continues. At the end of last year, the payment collection of glass deep processing enterprises was generally poor. After the year, the project commencement was insufficient and the payment could not be collected on time. The capital did not circulate normally. Some enterprises had pressure on their operating capital, but most of them had a fair capital situation.
3. The inventory of finished products is generally large. The logistics transportation in many places is still limited. The original film preparation and finished product shipment in some areas are affected. The superimposed project progress is slow, and the finished product inventory of most enterprises is large& nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp;
4. The production load of the enterprise is insufficient. Limited logistics, insufficient orders and overstocking of finished products have led some enterprises to reduce production load actively or passively, and reduce the operating load through rotation and rest to maintain personnel stability. During the survey, we communicated with other regional industry associations and learned that the situations faced by various regions are basically similar.(II) specific conditions of investigation
Order reserve: lack of reserve orders and less inquiry quantityAmong the 35 enterprises surveyed, nearly half of the orders were reserved in 10-15 days; Less than 10 enterprises with more than one month; The order volume of the remaining 10 enterprises is about one week, and a few enterprises are less than one week. The orders of industrial glass, home decoration and foreign trade are relatively sufficient. At the current time point, if the order reserve is more than one month, it is normal.
2. Production situation: generally dissatisfied with commencement loadMore than 40% of the surveyed enterprises are in & ldquo; Half start & rdquo; Or rotation mode, small and medium-sized enterprises can achieve normal production in a single shift due to small capacity, and some enterprises use night shift for steel production.
3. Inventory: the original film inventory is slightly insufficient, and the finished product inventory is generally largeThe epidemic situation in many places was sealed, the logistics transportation was blocked, the freight rate was increased, and the purchase channel was limited. Most enterprises mainly digested the early inventory, and the number of new arrivals was small; Recently, sealing and control in many places have been gradually released, and logistics is gradually recovering. On the premise that the epidemic will not recur, normal operation will resume in May.Most enterprises have a large inventory of finished products, which is mainly due to the epidemic situation and capital problems, and the construction site is not in urgent use, resulting in the backlog of finished products in the processing plant; Some enterprises organize production according to the order delivery date to control the finished product inventory.
4. Capital and accounts receivable: most enterprises have good capital status and enhanced risk awarenessMost of the interviewed enterprises reported that their capital situation was good, and they could basically make cash and cash, and only some old customers had a certain amount of credit. Try to control credit advances and potential risks through customer credit classification control, control of deposits, prepayments, contract performance, and improvement of evidence materials for partial credit payments.
5. The shortage of orders leads to the phenomenon of low price order grabbing.At present, there is a shortage of orders. In order to maintain production, there are some low-cost orders, mainly reflected in cash orders. Although there are difficulties in phased operation, it is hoped that all enterprises will still guarantee reasonable profit space, maintain reasonable price level, and strengthen self-discipline to overcome difficulties.(III) late stage market.
1. The market expectation in the second half of the year is relatively optimistic, and the order volume is not worried.On the micro level, the market's rigid demand still exists. Since the Spring Festival of this year, under the influence of multiple factors, the rigid demand orders have generally been delayed or even stagnated, and some orders have been delayed; Macroscopically, due to multiple factors, the economic growth rate in the first quarter may not be as expected. In order to ensure the completion of the annual target, the policy will be strengthened from the second and third quarters to improve the current situation. The moderate relaxation of real estate and the cancellation of purchase restrictions in many places will have a positive effect on the glass demand. Therefore, the orders of processing plants in the second half of the year will be relatively sufficient.
2. The outbreak will accelerate the reshuffle of the deep processing industry.At present, the prosperity of the industry is relatively low. In the last two years, the real estate industry has entered a stage of great changes and industry reshuffle, and the large-scale demand for glass is no longer. In addition, the expansion of the industrial chain of the industry's own production enterprises is accelerated, the advantages of large and medium-sized processing enterprises are prominent, and full competition leads to the demand side choosing to be picky, and the catalytic effect of the epidemic is superimposed. The reshuffle of the glass deep processing industry may be accelerated.
Enterprises that do not have advantages in products, capital, sales channels, material costs, quality and other aspects have worse risk resistance ability. Under the environment of shrinking demand, intensifying competition and upgrading of customers, the marginal effect of survival is getting smaller and smaller.At present, the prosperity of the industry is relatively low, and enterprises are facing difficulties in operation.
Enterprises should do a good job in internal management, reasonably control costs, improve personnel skills and improve work efficiency through training and learning, and prepare for full-scale production after the market starts; Based on the long-term consideration, the enterprise should clearly judge the future industry trend, clarify its own advantages and disadvantages, focus on survival and development, make reasonable medium and long-term planning, continuously enhance its competitiveness and anti risk ability, and lay a foundation for the sustainable development of the enterprise.Industry data in the near future
1. Daily production capacity: the high level will fall or will continue. Several kiln aging lines will be cold repaired in succession, and the production of new lines will be postponed. + 2.6% year-on-year, compared with - 1.6% at the end of last year.
2. Industry inventory: the pressure of continuous rising appears. The epidemic affected poor transportation, delayed demand and weak market startup; There is a moderate replenishment demand in the downstream, and it will take some time to really reduce the inventory. + 129.9% year-on-year and + 69% year-on-year.
3. Industry price: after the Spring Festival, it will continue to fall and stabilize in the near future. After the market recovers, there will be a small rebound driven by replenishment.